We know how much of a disappointment the Blue Jays have been this year. One of the biggest disappointments among players on the Blue Jays is Josh Johnson.
Many people thought Johnson was going to be a great addition to the pitching staff with his solid track record and his solid fastball and slider. He also is going to be a free agent for the first time after the season, which is added motivation for players who are looking for a big payday.
To this point of the season, Johnson has not come close to meeting anyone’s expectations. He has a 1-5 record with a 5.16 ERA in his 12 starts, according to Fangraphs. He also has a WHIP of 1.49. His velocity has dropped from previous seasons because of his Tommy John surgery which is a huge problem as Johnson’s success relied heavily on the velocity of his fastball and slider.
But when you look at his BABIP (Batting average on balls in play), you see an average (.327) that shows Johnson is unlucky. The .327 average shows more batted balls are hit where the defense isn’t. This is shown because the league average is between .290 and .310 and his career BABIP is .299. He is due for a rebound in the second half.
Johnson’s expiring contract and potential is attractive to teams looking for a cheap starter for a playoff run (Rangers, Rockies). The Blue Jays have said that they won’t trade Johnson. The Blue Jays cannot get a better pitcher at the trade deadline than Johnson. The Blue Jays want to win now and if they want to do that, they need to keep Josh Johnson because based on his statistics, he is due for a much improved second half.